Entries are closedPolls are closing, so ballots are locked. Follow the leaderboard as the results come in.
Build the House
How many seats do Democrats win? 218 is a majority.
Democrats215
No changefrom 2024
Republicans220
Republicans keep the House
How sure are you Republicans keep the House?
Coin flip65%Certain
Flip the Senate
Call the toss-ups. Democrats need 51.
Toss-up to call
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Not up this year
Democrats47
Republicans53
Ind.0
Seats changing hands
How sure are you Republicans keep the Senate?
Coin flip65%Certain
Pick the governors
Call the toss-ups.
Toss-up to call
Democrat
Republican
No race this year
Democratic wins0
Republican wins0
Flips0
Governorships changing hands
Break the tie
Your House popular vote and turnout calls settle ties.
Even
Total votes cast for the House
110 million
2018: 113.4 million. 2022: 108.4 million.
80 million150 million
Lock in your call
Republicans keep the House, Republicans keep the Senate
How scoring works
| Who controls the House, weighted by how sure you were | 10 |
| House seats: lose 1 point per seat off | 20 |
| Who controls the Senate, weighted by how sure you were | 10 |
| Senate seats: lose 2 points per seat off | 10 |
| Senate races, 1 point each | 35 |
| Governor's races, 1 point each | 36 |
| Total | 121 |
Confidence uses a Brier score: right at 90% sure earns 9.9 points, a 50/50 hedge earns 7.5, and wrong at 90% earns 1.9. Saying what you really believe is the best strategy. Ties go to the closer popular vote call, then the closer turnout guess, then the earlier entry. Final scores use the count as of Nov 20.